Good morning everyone! The last few days have been drier than expected, and believe me, I’m as glad about it as the next man. However, we still have a large low pressure area lurking over the North Atlantic, with Ireland caught at its southeastern flank. This low is unusually stable, staying with us well until next week, and bringing a continued stream of unsettled weather until Tuesday at the earliest.
Wednesday will be yet another mild day, with daytime highs of 16-18°C, and nighttime lows of around 12-13°C. After a dry start, rainfall will move into Cork from the south around lunchtime. The rainfall amounts are relatively low, but the rain will be rather persistent, not clearing until the evening. Winds will mostly be calm, however they will freshen up towards the evening, as a major cold front moves closer.
Thursday will be dominated by that front, with daytime highs not exceeding 14-15°C. Nighttime lows will come in at around 6-7°C. The front, with its associated band of heavy rain and strong winds, will move into West Cork from 3 AM onwards, reaching Cork at around 6 AM. Rainfall will be heavy during the first phase of the frontal passage, between 6 AM and around 10 AM, before easing of for lunchtime, and most of the afternoon. The front will stall towards the evening hours, and another area of heavy rain will move into Cork from the southwest at around 6 PM, staying with us until midnight.
Friday can best be described as a “morning after” day. Following a chilly start, temperatures will rise to 16-17°C, while nighttime lows will come in at around 7-8°C. Showery rain is possible throughout the day, as is usual after a frontal transit. Thunderstorms are unlikely, but not completely impossible, the atmosphere is certainly chaotic enough for that. Winds will also be fresh to strong from southwesterly directions.
As far as the weekend is concerned, I’m afraid it’ll be more of the same, there’s no sign of a change in weather patterns anytime soon.