Weekday Weather Forecast – September 17th – September 19th

Good morning everyone. Hope you had a nice weekend. It looks like Helene is turning from a tropical storm into a tropical disappointment! Over the weekend, the storm weakened significantly, and was pushed onto a more southerly trajectory. The core of what used to be Helene is already collapsing, and the “dead” area around it…

Severe Weather Advisory #2 – Tropical Storm Helene

Good morning, everyone. Hurricane Helene has weakened to a tropical storm overnight, while still continuing its northward track. It will turn Northeastwards after passing over the Azores later this weekend, undergoing extratropical transition soon thereafter. It is moving close to the recently formed Tropical Storm Joyce, and from my perspective, it is possible that the…

Weekend Weather Forecast – September 14th – September 16th

Good morning, and welcome to the calm before the storm(s)! We are looking at a period of very unsettled weather, with storms likely pretty much every second day for the entirety of next week, starting on Saturday. A North Atlantic storm system will move through on Saturday, likely followed by the remains of Hurricane Helene…

Severe Weather Advisory #1 – Hurricane Helene

Well, it now looks all but certain that Hurricane Helene will hit Ireland early next week. The National Hurricane Center has updated its forecast to show a clear slant towards Ireland over the weekend, with West Cork, Cork City, Kerry, and Limerick squarely in the crosshairs. Those who know me and my forecasts know that…

Special Advisory – Tropical Storm Florence

In recent days, there’s been quite a bit of kerfuffle about a supposed storm “stronger than Ophelia” hitting Ireland towards the middle of September. At the time this story broke, that storm, now designated as Tropical Storm Florence, had just rolled over the coast of Senegal as a strong tropical depression. As with all “meteorological”…

Weekend Weather Forecast – Oct. 20th – Oct. 22nd

Hello everyone. Sorry for yet another late forecast, but I’ve been rather busy at work lately. However, given what will happen over the next few days, I’m sure as hell not going to miss a chance to write down my own take on it. To be concise and to the point, yep, storm Brian is…

Severe Weather Event October 16th – Advisory #5

This will be the final advisory for Hurricane Ophelia. It is currently moving northeast at a brisk 30 knots, and should start affecting southern Irish counties in the early morning, so less than 24 hours from now. It is currently transitioning from a hurricane to an extratropical cyclone, which in effect means that it will…

Severe Weather Event October 16th – Advisory #4

Hurricane Ophelia is contiuing to strengthen, with satellite images showing a clearly defined eye and remote wind speed measurements indicating that the storm is at the top end of Category 2 and could evolve into a major Category 3 Hurricane over the course of this day. All major weather models are now in agreement that…

Severe Weather Event October 16th – 17th – Advisory #3

Ophelia has evolved into a Category 2 Hurricane, and has started on its trek to the Northeast. It is now all but certain that Ireland will be affected by Ophelia on Monday. It will technically not be a hurricane anymore, but it will hold hurricane force winds. The size and intensity of the storm mean…

Potential Severe Weather Event October 16th – 17th – Advisory #2

As was expected by the National Hurricane Center, Tropical Storm Ophelia was upgraded to a hurricane overnight. While it is currently quasi stationary southeast of the Azores, there is an increasing agreement among the major weather models that the storm will hit Ireland early next week. There is some disagreement about the exact time that…